Sportswatchmonitor.com Top Free NBA Play of the Day Monday 11-27-17 (Courtesy of Jimmy Boyd)
Free Pick on Mavs/Spurs UNDER
I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's Southwest Division showdown between the Mavericks and Spurs. Neither of these teams like to get up and down the floor. Dallas ranks 24th in the league in pace and San Antonio is dead last at pace. As a result these two offenses are not scoring a ton of points. The Spurs are only averaging 100.9 ppg and just 96.4 ppg over their last 5. Dallas is putting up 98.8 ppg and just 94.2 ppg in division games.
It's no secret the Spurs are a great defensive team. San Antonio is second to only the Celtics giving up just 98.1 ppg. Dallas ranks in the top 15 in points allowed, but have really been playing hard on that side here of late, giving up just 95 ppg over their last 5.
These two teams played a couple weeks ago in Dallas and combined for just 188 points with the Spurs winning 97-91. Not only did that stay well under the mark here, but it also sets up a great situation, as the UNDER is 24-13 in the Mavs last 37 when revenging a same season loss. UNDER is also 27-12 in the Spurs last 39 home games when facing a horrible team like the Mavs who are shooting 43% or worse and allowing teams to shoot 46% or better. Take the UNDER!
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