Sportswatchmonitor.com Top FREE CFB Play of the Day Saturday 10-14-17 (Courtesy of Jimmy Boyd)
Free Pick on Rutgers +3
I like the value here with the Scarlet Knights catching a field goal on the road against the Fighting Illini. While both of these teams will be finishing near the bottom of the Big Ten, I like this Rutgers team a lot more and this is a great spot to back them.
The Scarlet Knights have had a full two weeks to prepare for Illinois coming off their bye and have to be licking their chops to get back on the field after that ugly 56-0 loss to Ohio State last time out. While Rutgers is going to be locked in an ready to go, I think Illinois will struggle to get up for this one after a hard fought game against Iowa last week, which followed a home night game against Nebraska and USF the week before.
Both of these teams have struggled on offense. Rutgers is 122nd in total offense and Illinois is 123rd. That has me looking at the two defenses and that's where I see a big edge for the Scarlet Knights. The Fighting Illini rank 101st in total defense, and are 90th or worse against both the run and the pass. The Scarlet Knights are a much more respectable 51st in total defense, ranking inside the Top 65 vs both the run and the pass. Rutgers should have the easier time moving the ball here, especially with a healthy Janarion Grant expected back in the lineup after he missed each of the last two.
Illinois is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 when coming into a game off 3 straight losses by 17 or more points. They are also 0-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons when playing at home off a road loss and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Take Rutgers!
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